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Côte d'Ivoire Likely To See A Moderate Role Increase For Extra-Government Non-State Actors Over Next Five Years

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Executive Summary:
Due to a significant level of instability, minimal amounts of corruption, low levels of democracy, and a somewhat difficult level of conducting business, it is likely that extra-governmental non-state actors (NSAs), such as student demonstrators and ethnic groups, currently play the most influential but still minimal role within Côte Moderate_Inc.jpgd'Ivoire (represented by its score of 2 on the Extra-Government side of the Role Potential spectrum). However, within the next five years, it is likely that the role of NSAs will increase to a moderate level within the country. This is primarily due to UN sanctions that prevent the trading of diamonds, which will create an atmosphere conducive to the emergence of unlawful business NSA and by continued political unrest by student demonstrators and ethnic groups.

Analytic Confidence: 7
Source Reliability: 9

Discussion:



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Overall Score

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Democracy Var.

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Doing Bus. Var.

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Corruption Var.

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Failed States Var.

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Geo Dis- NGOs

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Geo Dis- Bus.

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Geo Dis- Ter Grps.